Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.677440e-05 0.000044 0.000052 0.000061 0.000071 0.000082 0.000094
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.838983e-05 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000076 0.000093 0.000113
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.170658e-05 0.000031 0.000043 0.000059 0.000077 0.000099 0.000126
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.708096e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057 0.000078 0.000104 0.000137
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.414798e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000057 0.000081 0.000111 0.000151
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.145996e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000055 0.000082 0.000116 0.000161
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.361884e-06 0.000019 0.000033 0.000054 0.000084 0.000121 0.000171
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.559527e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000053 0.000084 0.000125 0.000180
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.895500e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000051 0.000083 0.000127 0.000187
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.445544e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000048 0.000082 0.000127 0.000191
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.458621e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047 0.000081 0.000129 0.000198
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.249455e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000049 0.000087 0.000140 0.000215
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.333910e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000048 0.000088 0.000145 0.000227
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.756002e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000048 0.000090 0.000152 0.000243
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.153844e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000046 0.000090 0.000155 0.000253
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.507362e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000044 0.000090 0.000159 0.000263
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.234237e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000044 0.000092 0.000166 0.000278
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.246831e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000043 0.000093 0.000170 0.000290
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.932061e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000042 0.000094 0.000175 0.000302
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.018959e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000041 0.000094 0.000178 0.000313
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.105172e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000039 0.000093 0.000180 0.000320
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.043829e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000091 0.000180 0.000324
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.708268e-09 0.000001 0.000010 0.000036 0.000090 0.000182 0.000333